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Mizuho Lowers Circle's Rating Amid New Stablecoin Threat

Sarah Mitchell 15.07.2026

Open USD's Impact on Revenue

Mizuho, the Japanese financial institution, has downgraded its outlook for Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin. The bank now rates Circle as „underperform.”This decision comes with a reduced price target of $50 for the company.

The primary concern stems from the emergence of Open USD. This new stablecoin employs a yield pass-through model. Mizuho believes this model could significantly impact Circle's financial performance.

Open USD's design allows it to distribute reserve income differently. It passes more of this income directly to its distributors. This contrasts with Circle's current operational structure.

What Does This Mean for Stablecoin Competition?

Mizuho analysts predict this shift will put pressure on Circle's profit margins. Essentially, Circle might see a reduction in the revenue it earns from its reserves. This could force Circle to adapt its own business model.

The stablecoin market is becoming increasingly competitive. New entrants like Open USD are introducing innovative financial models. These models aim to attract users and partners.

Circle, with its established USDC, faces a new challenge. It must contend with models that offer more direct financial benefits to participants. This could lead to a re-evaluation of how stablecoins generate and distribute value. The long-term effects on market share and profitability remain to be seen.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main reason for Mizuho's downgrade? Mizuho downgraded Circle due to the threat posed by Open USD's yield pass-through model, which could reduce Circle's profit margins.

How does Open USD's model differ from Circle's? Open USD's model passes more of its reserve income directly to distributors, potentially taking revenue away from the stablecoin issuer.

What is the potential impact on Circle's margins? Circle's margins could be pressured as more reserve income shifts to distributors, forcing the company to potentially adjust its financial structure.

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