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Uptober Begins with Green Momentum as Bitcoin ETFs Pull $134M

Decrypt Agent 04.10.2026

Bitcoin ETFs Surge After September Sell‑off

U. S. spot Bitcoin exchange‑traded funds (ETFs) attracted a combined $134.4 million in net inflows during the first two days of October, signaling a rebound after a September outflow. The inflows came from $102.7 million on Thursday and $31.7 million on Friday, according to a market‑tracking service. This follows a $148.7 million outflow on September 30 that ended a nine‑session streak of withdrawals. The easing of rate‑hike expectations following a mild jobs report may have helped, but analysts still see a 93% probability that Bitcoin will rise in the coming months.

The surge in inflows comes amid a broader shift in investor sentiment. After a nine‑day run of net withdrawals, the first two days of October saw a reversal, with investors pouring money into spot Bitcoin ETFs. The $102.7 million inflow on Thursday was the largest single‑day inflow for the sector in recent weeks, and the $31.7 million on Friday added to the momentum. The inflows reflect growing confidence in the regulatory environment and the perceived safety of spot ETFs compared to futures‑based products.

Will the Trend Continue? A Question for Investors

Market watchers note that the September outflow of $148.7 million was driven largely by concerns over potential interest‑rate hikes. A softer jobs report on September 29 reduced the likelihood of a rate increase, which in turn lifted investor appetite for riskier assets. The shift in expectations has translated into a renewed flow of capital into Bitcoin ETFs, suggesting that the market is ready to re‑engage with the sector after a period of caution.

Frequently Asked Questions

The key question for investors is whether the inflow trend will sustain itself. Analysts point to several factors that could influence future movements. First, the probability of a Bitcoin price rally remains high, with a 93% chance projected by some traders. Second, the regulatory landscape continues to evolve, and any new approvals or clarifications could further boost confidence. Finally, macroeconomic conditions, such as inflation data and monetary policy decisions, will play a critical role in shaping investor sentiment.

If the positive trend persists, we could see continued inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, which would support price gains and potentially lead to further institutional participation. However, a sudden shift in macroeconomic data or regulatory policy could reverse the current momentum and trigger new outflows.

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