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James Crawford
June 27, 2026 · 2 min read
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Bitcoin Trades Far Below $72,000 Ahead of $10 Billion Options Expiry

Bitcoin Trades Far Below $72,000 Ahead of $10 Billion Options Expiry

Is Max Pain Theory Losing Relevance?

Bitcoin is trading far below the $72,000 level a day ahead of a $10 billion quarterly options settlement. This expiry is significant, being one of the largest this year. The event is expected to have a substantial impact on the cryptocurrency market.

The popular max pain theory, which suggests that the price of bitcoin tends to gravitate towards the strike price with the most open interest at expiry, isn't working out. Bitcoin's current price is well below the $72,000 level, contradicting this theory.

Will Bitcoin's Price be Affected by Options Expiry?

The max pain theory has been a widely followed concept in the options market. However, its failure to hold true in this instance has raised questions about its relevance. The theory is based on the idea that market makers try to manipulate the price to maximize pain for option buyers.

As the $10 billion options expiry approaches, market participants are eagerly waiting to see how it will affect bitcoin's price. The expiry is expected to result in a significant amount of price action, potentially leading to increased volatility.

Frequently Asked Questions

The outcome of this expiry will be closely watched by market participants, and its impact on bitcoin's price will be significant. If the price remains below $72,000, it could indicate a shift in market sentiment.

What is max pain theory? Max pain theory is a concept that suggests the price of an asset tends to gravitate towards the strike price with the most open interest at expiry. Why is the $10 billion options expiry significant? The expiry is one of the largest this year and is expected to have a substantial impact on the cryptocurrency market. Will the options expiry affect bitcoin's price? The expiry is expected to result in significant price action, potentially leading to increased volatility.

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Content written by James Crawford for ai-trading-guru.com editorial team, AI-assisted.

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